Report: Boston pop. to rise 400k by 2025 - Boston Business Journal:

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That’s why bizjournals is issuing its own populatiohn projections forthe nation’s 250 largesty metropolitan areas, looking as far aheadf as 2025. Bizjournals analyzed recent county-by-countyu growth patterns withineach state, and then used that informationj to predict metropolitan growth at five-yeaer intervals between 2005 and 2025. No one can foresee all of the economid twists and demographic turns that the coming two decadeswill bring, but projections suggest a range of intriguint possibilities. Here are some possibilities ofparticulaf interest: • Boston will have added roughly 400,000 residenta in the 20-year span ende d 2025, with a total population topping 4.
84 million That should be good enough to rank the city as the country’xs 12th-largest, based on bizjournals’ projections. As of 2005, Bostonn was ranked as the 10th larges city in the United By comparison, the city of Worcester, Mass., is expecterd to slip 11 spots in the rankings falling from the country’xs 64th largest city to its 75th — by 2025. That fall woulc come despite a projected 5 percent increasein Worcester’s which is expected to reach just over 813,000 by 2025. Barnstable, Mass.
, tied for 10th among the cities expected fall the farthest in the The city, with a population of roughly 219,000 in is expected to slip 6 percent by 2025 pushing Barnstable down 39 spots to 227th in the largest-cit y rankings. • New York City will retaib first place by acomfortable margin. The nation’s largest metropolitab area isthe 23-countg New York City region, which spills over into Long New Jersey and Pennsylvania. It had 18.8 milliojn residents in 2005, according to U.S. Census Bureauu estimates. No. 2 Los Angeles was far behind at 12.8 Los Angeles is growing more rapidly than New but not fast enough to close thegap appreciably.
The two giantas will still be separatedby 5.8 million peoplew in 2025, when New York has 19.8 millionm residents and Los Angeles has a shade more than 14 • Houston and Atlanta will climb into the top six. Houstobn was the nation’s seventh-largest metro in 2005, and Atlant a was No. 9. Both will be moving higherr incoming years. Houston is projected to shoog up to fifth placeby 2025, adding almost 2.6 million peoplr to reach a population of nearly 7.9 million. Atlanta is ticketexd for sixth placeat 7.3 million. The top four by the way, will maintain preciselyu the same order overthe 20-year New York, Los Angeles, Chicago and Dallas-Fort Worth.
Detroit will drop out of the top 10, with Phoeniz replacing it. Detroit and Phoenix are two of the most economicallh troubled areas inAmerica today, but theie future prospects are considerably different. Detroitr is the only metro expected to slip from the top 10 durinv the nexttwo decades. It’s projected to fall from 10th plac in 2005 to 14th place in losing 59,500 residents during that span. on the other hand, is likely to bounce back strongl y from itscurrent problems. Its projected 2025 population of 6.9 milliojn will elevate it to seventhy place, up from 13th in 2005.
Raleigh will set the fastest pace of any metropolitan The three-county Raleigh metro will virtually doublew its population during the study period. It had 953,000o residents in 2005, but should be closing in on 1.9 milliojn by 2025.